Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Deni Avdija has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Wizards.
On their home court, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Chicago is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 11th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games when the Bulls are on their home court (4.1).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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