Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has totaled 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent days: 77th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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