Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has posted a terrific 3.8 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.8 assists per game last year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Washington Wizards will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 11.3 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (saving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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