Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has tallied 4.0 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Deni Avdija has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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