Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 4.0 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch: 85th percentile.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.
The Pistons have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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