Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders by this metric in recent games: 81st percentile.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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