Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 3.9 assists per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category recently.
The fastest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.
Deni Avdija should see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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