Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.9 assists per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard over this stretch.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Wizards.
While playing away from home, the Knicks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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