Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's put up over the course of the year.
Compared to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) minutes per home game, Deni Avdija's rate of playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) minutes over the last 5 games on his home court.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to increased plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 7thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 12.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (continuing possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).
Deni Avdija is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to playing away from hom in this contest.

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