DeMar DeRozan Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has played 34.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has posted a measly 2.7 defensive boards per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 4.2 defensive boards per game last year.
Compared to last year's 2.6 clip, DeMar DeRozan's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.7.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
DeMar DeRozan stands to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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