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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Kings check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has shot and missed 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's missed overall this season.

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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