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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has registered 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's registered over the course of the season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • With respect to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's terrific 118.6 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 8th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Kings.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.1 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a hard matchup.
  • The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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