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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 91st percentile for shots playing at home, totaling 15.9 per game this year.
  • DeMar DeRozan has converted 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
  • Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
  • The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
  • The 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted just 5.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.6 rate last season.
  • The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are the visiting team (5th-least in the league).

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