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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has put up 19.9 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 1.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Kings are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 10th-best in in the NBA at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to 3-pointers, the Kings's lackluster 12.5 drained threes per game comes in as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for field goal attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.7).
  • The 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
  • Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.

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