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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has registered 24.8 points per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 4.7 more than he's registered in all games this season at home.

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 54.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 31.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.

DeMar DeRozan has tallied 34.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

When it comes to offense, the Kings's exceptional 119.0 points per game measures as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

The Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point shots.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have notched 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a difficult matchup for offensive production.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Devin Vassell is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game (10th percentile).

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