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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan has made 4.8 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the road team this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).

DeMar DeRozan is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More DeMar DeRozan Player Props

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