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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 46.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 12.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.9 minutes per game this year.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
  • Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to three-point shots, the Kings's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
  • DeMar DeRozan will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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