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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 3.8 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
  • DeMar DeRozan has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan has sunk 4.7 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
  • This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup.
  • The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
  • This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.
  • DeMar DeRozan will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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