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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has compiled 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's compiled in all games this season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.6% rate of drained threes as the road team settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have shot 33.3% on field goals (lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
  • The matchup vs. the Knicks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA).
  • DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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