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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup against Houston is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.

The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home this year has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

DeMar DeRozan has made a lowly 4.6 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.5 mark last year.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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