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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2025

Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.4 minutes per game this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, making this a strong matchup.

The Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the away team this year.

The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from competing against the slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (4th-least in the NBA).

DeMar DeRozan figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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