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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 14.5 shots per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league when playing at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Relative to last season's 7.6 rate, DeMar DeRozan's number of foul shots has been reduced this season to 5.3 foul shots per game.

More DeMar DeRozan Player Props

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