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DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-154/+112).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -154.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 87th percentile for shots from the field while on his home court, putting up 14.4 per game this year.Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.In regard to shooting, the Kings's exceptional 115.0 points per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year.The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Kings.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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DeMar DeRozan has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a difficult matchup.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
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