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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has played 34.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

In regard to scoring, the Kings's superb 123.0 points per game while on their home court places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

The Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 6th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a bad 4.6% rate this year.

DeMar DeRozan has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings rank 9thworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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