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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against the Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5th-best in in the league as the home team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

DeMar DeRozan stands to see a rise in output in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan ranks in the 6th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while at home with a feeble 6.3% rate this year.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

The Kings have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

The matchup against Utah is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the Utah Jazz are on the road (least in the league).

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