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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 70.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season when playing away from home.
  • Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 36.3 minutes per game this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league when playing on the road this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to 3-point shots, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 29.3% rate of sunk threes while playing away from home comes in as the weakest in the league this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 36.0% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) against the Spurs, designating this as a challenging matchup.
  • DeMar DeRozan should suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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