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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2024

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 15.1 shots from the field per game while at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.9 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • DeMar DeRozan will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 7th percentile for three-point ability when playing at home with a poor 8.3% rate this year.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have registered 8.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.
  • The 4th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 6thworst in in the league playing at home with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • The showdown with Julian Champagnie in regard to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 18th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SFs attempting a mere 1.6 free throws per game this year.

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