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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2024

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
  • DeMar DeRozan has sunk 75.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
  • Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.6 minutes per game this year.
  • In contrast to last year's 2.1 clip, DeMar DeRozan's personal fouls per game have diminished this year to 1.3.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Los Angeles may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 0.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Clippers are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).
  • DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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