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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has totaled 27.3 points per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 45.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 37.5 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.
  • The Kings have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan will likely see a rise in output across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to treys, the Kings's poor 9.8 drained threes per game settles in as the 2nd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 43.3% on field goal attempts (5th-worst in the NBA) against the Clippers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting SFs vs. Terance Mann has been very low this year (2.3 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

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