DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has posted 24.0 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.
DeMar DeRozan has averaged 38.0 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
When it comes to shooting, the Kings's impressive 117.8 points per game rates 7th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Toronto Raptors are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
DeMar DeRozan ought to see a decline in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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