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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2024

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has compiled 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.5% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 38.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile.
  • The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bulls check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
  • The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
  • DeMar DeRozan will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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