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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 22.9 points per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.

DeMar DeRozan has played 37.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 10.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

DeMar DeRozan is expected to see a spike in output for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bulls have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.

The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).

The matchup against Boston is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team (8th-least in the league).

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