DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this year while playing away from home.
DeMar DeRozan has sunk 40.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 13.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Bulls's lackluster 111.7 points per game comes in as the 6th-weakest in the league this year.
The least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
DeMar DeRozan will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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