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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has registered 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's registered over the course of the year.

DeMar DeRozan has converted 39.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's converted from three overall this year away from his home court.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 37.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 10thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Playing at home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bulls have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a challenging matchup.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

The Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

DeMar DeRozan will likely see a decline in performance across the board due to playing away from home in this contest.

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