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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has logged 22.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.

The Bulls will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 23 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.7).

The Bulls have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.

Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.

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