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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has made 54.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.2% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

DeMar DeRozan has played 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 5.5 free throws per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

DeMar DeRozan will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a hard matchup.

The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 9thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.

While playing away from home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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