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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan registers in the 91st percentile, averaging a monstrous 22.4 points per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 36.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Bulls.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.

When it comes to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 111.4 points per game as the home team ranks 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.

The Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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