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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 91st percentile, logging a massive 22.3 points per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 87th percentile for three-point effectiveness while on his home court with a a remarkable 45.6% rate this year.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 55.3% on shots from the field (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of scoring, the Bulls's poor 110.0 points per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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