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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 17.2 shots per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have grabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (shortening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of offense, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 110.3 points per game places 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one; when the Spurs are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (8.6).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have attempted 24.7 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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