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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has sunk an impressive 53.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 24.4 rate last year.

Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing squads have brought down 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

With respect to offense, the Bulls's feeble 109.3 points per game while at home ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 3.2 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls.

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