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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Chicago Bulls.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team (21st-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 8.9 clip, DeMar DeRozan's shots converted have regressed this year to 7.6 per game.

Relative to last season's 22.5% rate, DeMar DeRozan's three-point proficiency has decreased this season to 8.3%.

Compared to last year's 2.6 clip, DeMar DeRozan's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.7.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

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