DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 17.3 mark, DeMar DeRozan's shots have spiked this season to 18.8 per game.
Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 6thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
DeMar DeRozan will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (83rd percentile).
As it relates to offense, the Bulls's unimpressive 108.1 points per game measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 43.4% on field goal attempts (12th-worst in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a tough matchup.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bulls.

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