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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 95th percentile, totaling a massive 24.5 points per game at home since the start of last season.

DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Bulls check in as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA away from their home court since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (36.5%).

When playing on the road, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (83rd percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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