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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games away from home.

The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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