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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 51.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.5% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home.
  • DeMar DeRozan has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
  • The Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Bulls.
  • DeMar DeRozan has sunk 6.3 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Chicago Bulls check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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