DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 41.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 16.5% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise plays for the Bulls.
DeMar DeRozan will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has attempted a lowly 17.7 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 20.1 mark last season.
DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Lakers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (14.6).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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