DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has posted 31.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.
DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 43.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan has sunk 8.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a tough one; when the 76ers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 25 games (11.3).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).