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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 27.6 points per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
  • DeMar DeRozan has made 44.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.8% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season on his home court.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one; when the Timberwolves are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (12.2).
  • The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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