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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has posted 27.6 points per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 44.9% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 10.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

DeMar DeRozan has tallied 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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