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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 23.8 shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).

The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Denver may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (10th-least in the NBA).

DeMar DeRozan will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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